OPINION PIECES & POLICY BRIEFS

“America’s Nuclear-Deterrence Challenge in Asia,” Wall Street Journal, June 7, 2016. The NATO playbook can help keep South Korea and Japan from pursuing bombs of their own.

“Changing Tides in South China Sea,” Wall Street Journal, August 25, 2015. Coauthored with Elbridge Colby. Analysts who think China’s artificial islands will not affect the U.S. are too sanguine.

“Rethinking Taiwan’s Submarine Dream,” Real Clear Defense, October 28, 2014. Are subs the best answer to China’s growing military power?

“Time for American Land-Based Missile Forces to Counter China?” The National Interest, October 14, 2014. The finale of a debate on the rise of Chinese missiles forces and what the United States should do about it.

“How Should America Respond to China’s Deadly Missile Arsenal?” The National Interest, September 19, 2014. Washington should consider modifying the INF treaty to permit the deployment of intermediate-range missiles in Asia while continuing to bar their deployment in Europe—despite the alternatives.

“China’s Missile Forces are Growing: Is it Time to Modify the INF Treaty?” The National Interest, July 2, 2014. U.S. forces in East Asia are becoming increasingly vulnerable to China’s missiles, which could be used against the air bases and aircraft carriers that underpin U.S. power projection. Could a change to the INF treaty help?

“Time to Worry about China’s Military Rise,” Belfer Center Policy Brief, June 2014. What are the potential consequences of China’s military modernization? This question is at the heart of recent debates over the durability of U.S. primacy, whether or not the United States can sustain its grand strategy of global engagement, and how it should adapt its armed forces.

“China’s Rising Military Might: A Grand-Strategy Surprise?” The National Interest, 11 June 2014. While proponents of different U.S. grand strategies might concur that China has the greatest potential to challenge America over the long run, they don’t see that challenge as a very serious one in the near term. Why?

“The Future of America’s Nuclear Deterrent,” The National Interest, 6 December 2013. America’s strategic nuclear deterrent is nearing a crossroads.

“By Land and By Sea: Balanced Forces for a Complex Region,” Foreign Affairs, 19 July 2013. Coauthored with Stacie L. Pettyjohn. In their article, O’Hanlon and Riedel urge the United States to rely less on aircraft carriers stationed in the Persian Gulf and more on forces housed in bases in Gulf Cooperation Council nations. Here’s why that would exacerbate problems for the United States in the region.

“Telling Hard Truths,” Defense News, 24 June 2013. Coauthored with Mark Gunzinger. In August 2011, the Budget Control Act was signed into law and sequestration quickly became a buzzword in Washington. Facing the prospect of $500 billion in defense cuts over the next decade, the Department of Defense (DoD) has spent the past two years moving through the classic five stages of grief.

“India’s Anti-Access Trump Card,” The Diplomat, 6 June 2013. New Delhi’s naval capabilities may never match its ambitions, but an A2/AD strategy would enable it to exercise significant influence in maritime affairs.

“Returning to the Land or Turning Toward the Sea? India’s Role in America’s Pivot,” The Diplomat, 28 April 2013. China is pushing the U.S. and India closer. Are they focusing on the wrong set of challenges?